Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.8	2.15
	2.72	3.25	2.28
	2.86	3.58	2.25
	2.77	3.64	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.79	3.42	2.23
	2.83	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.35)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	2.23 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
33%

Draw
26.1%

Real Madrid C
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elche Ilicitano's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elche Ilicitano - Real Madrid C Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Real Madrid C (3.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid C (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Herraiz A. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Piri ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Felipe P. 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Ilicitano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilicitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.01.26	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Las Palmas B - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Fuenlabrada - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TTWWT
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.01.26	Intercity - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madrid C - Orihuela	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Getafe B - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.09.25	Real Madrid C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1

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