Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Unión Sur Yaiza

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.69	3.32	5.32
	1.69	3.32	5.14	Watch
	1.69	3.52	4.9
	1.67	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.26)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	4.78 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
54.6%

Draw
26.3%

Unión Sur Yaiza
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid C's performance.

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Sur Yaiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid C that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Sur Yaiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid C - Unión Sur Yaiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, De Llanos H. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Ortega J. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, De Llanos H. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, De Llanos H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 4 - 1, Traore I. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Real Madrid C is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión Sur Yaiza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Real Madrid C is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Unión Adarve - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Cacereño - Real Madrid C	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Real Madrid C - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWTT
- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Sur Yaiza	5:2 ✺
10.11.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Talavera de la Reina - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - CD Guadalajara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT

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