Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.91	3.15	3.9
	1.91	2.95	3.45
	1.95	3.05	4.04
	1.93	3.14	4.08
	1.91	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	3.85 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
47.2%

Draw
29.3%

Real Madrid C
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Cacereño - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Iglesias Lois B. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Ribes K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 2, Salinas A. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Salinas A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cacereño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cacereño will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Tenerife B - Cacereño	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLT
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Real Madrid C - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	CD Guadalajara - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Real Madrid C - Melilla	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWTL

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