The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid C 34.6%
Draw 31.9%
San Sebastian Reyes 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
30.1%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Santiago A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 1 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Ruiz F. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Real Madrid C has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SS Reyes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
SS Reyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).