The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Murcia 52.6%
Draw 27.4%
CE Europa 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
25.8%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
24.3%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia's form might have worsened.
CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CE Europa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Murcia - CE Europa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. (C) 4. Perez H. 3. Romero C. 10. Nunez C. 15. Gil O. 14. Joao Pedro Palmberg 17. Moreno Sanchez J. 23. Bosilj D. 19. Jorquera Romero J.
13. Ruiz N. (G) 5. Campeny A. 4. Cano A. (C) 3. Sgro M. 15. Edo V. 14. Morales V. 8. Gori 2. Coto E. 19. Mascaro J. 22. Padillo A. 7. Ribeiro F.
Substitutes
11. Bustos A. 18. Diao U. 21. Errahaly M. 20. Gimenez A. 40. Meca A. 8. Mier J. 7. Moyita S. 22. Olmedo V. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 5. Rojas J. 24. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A.
10. Angles Sanchez M. 30. Cadenas J. F. 16. Cardelus G. 1. Madrigal L. (G) 9. Noureddine K. 12. Pallares S. 23. Tito Tolosa
Coaches
Guillo S.
Gene J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Cano A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Morales V. ⚽, Padillo A. (A),
45+4', Perez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
46', Perez H. ↓, Mier J. ↑,
46', Coto E. ↓, Noureddine K. ↑,
62', Morales V. ↓, Cardelus G. ↑,
62', Mascaro J. ↓, Tito Tolosa ↑,
62', Mier J. ↓, Olmedo V. ↑,
67', Nunez C. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
79', Bosilj D. ↓, Meca A. ↑,
80', Sgro M. 🟨,
82', Ribeiro F. ↓, Angles Sanchez M. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Mier J. ⚽,
90+7', Pallares S. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 1, Olmedo V. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Murcia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Europa has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Murcia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Murcia has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Murcia is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Murcia in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Murcia has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Murcia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
Spain
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Jimenez D. (G) 
Joao Pedro Palmberg 
Bosilj D. 
Diao U. 
Errahaly M. 
