Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.58	3.59	6.77
	1.54	3.56	6.15
	1.56	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	5.99 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
59.1%

Draw
25.6%

Real Unión de Irun
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

28%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

28.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Real Unión will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Murcia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Unión is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Unión have a series of home games.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2 ✺
24.09.22	Barcelona B - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Real Sociedad B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Copa Federacion
12.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Illueca	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.22	La Nucía - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTW

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