Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Real Normanna		Ferrandina

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.6
	2.03	3.1	3.59
	2.03	3	3.63
	2.15	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3.03 ↑ (3.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Normanna
44.3%

Draw
30%

Ferrandina
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

29.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Normanna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ferrandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Normanna than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Real Normanna - Ferrandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

Real Normanna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferrandina is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Normanna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Normanna could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Normanna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Normanna	6	3	1	2	10:10	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Real Normanna
Italian Serie D - Group H
01.03.26	Real Normanna - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Francavilla - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Real Normanna - Sarnese	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Fidelis Andria - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Normanna - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLT
- ASD Ferrandina
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.03.26	Ferrandina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Martina Calcio - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Manfredonia - Ferrandina	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ferrandina - Barletta	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sarnese - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
09.11.25	Ferrandina - Real Normanna	0:0

Real Normanna - Ferrandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide