Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 16

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Referee: Lopez M. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real Oruro		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	6.50	5.25	1.33	Watch
	5.50	4.75	1.38
	6.10	4.95	1.36	Watch
	5.65	5.10	1.43
	6.04	5.33	1.41	Watch
	5.60	5.10	1.37
	6.55	5.29	1.38	Watch
	5.80	4.90	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (5.32)	5.08 ↓ (5.19)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
15.4%

Draw
18%

Bolívar
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

18%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

17.3%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Real Oruro - Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arancibia A. (G) 33. Gatti F. 5. Corulo L. 23. Villegas Y. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 19. Vallejos Y. 6. Rivera A. 22. Rivera E. 55. Garcia S. 10. Quinonez A. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C)	12. Lopez J. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 3. Arreaga X. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. 80. Melgar C. A. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 77. Romero D. 14. Robson Matheus 7. Velasquez J. 27. Asprilla D.
Substitutes
42. Ardaya R. 48. Berrios J. 18. Calle Y. 15. Castellon D. 46. Eguez T. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 13. Pena I. (G) 9. Pinto D. 26. Tifner H. 40. Vargas F. 37. Velez J.	10. Arce B. 9. Cauteruccio M. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 1. Lampe C. (G) 33. Mena F. 11. Miranda B. 17. Pato Rodriguez 8. Paz L. 26. Saavedra E. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 16. Zabala L.
Coaches
Colinas N.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Melgar C. A. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Romero D. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Garcia S. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
46', Asprilla D. ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
46', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
54', Rivera E. 🟨,
57', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Velasquez J. ⚽, Justiniano L. (A),
67', Justiniano L. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Vallejos Y. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Melgar C. A. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
69', Velasquez J. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
69', Gatti F. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
71', Corulo L. 🟨,
77', Villegas Y. ↓, Tifner H. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Vallejos Y. ⚽,
82', 2 - 4, Saavedra E. ⚽, Pato Rodriguez (A),
88', Justiniano L. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
89', Rivera A. 🟨,
90+4', Balceras Cuellar R. J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Real Oruro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bolívar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolívar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Oruro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bolivar	20	14	3	3	54:22	32	45
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.08.26	Always Ready - Real Oruro	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.08.26	Real Oruro - Oriente Petrolero	2:3 ✺
07.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	ABB - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Oruro - Independiente Petroleros	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Bolívar La Paz
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	São Paulo - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.26	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Bolívar - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.08.26	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Always Ready - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.26	Bolívar - Real Oruro	5:2
02.08.25	Real Oruro - Bolívar	3:1
28.03.25	Bolívar - Real Oruro	3:1

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