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Current Win Probability
Real Tomayapo 46.2%
Draw 24.2%
Real Oruro 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
21.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
21%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.
Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oruro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Oruro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cardenas L. (G) 43. Aguilera C. 24. Robles D. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 14. Galvez V. 7. Arabe C. 5. Montenegro L. S. 12. Ribera J. 6. Melgar V. 18. Eguez R. 11. Nouet F.
1. Arancibia A. (G) 33. Gatti F. 23. Villegas Y. (C) 16. Chore C. 48. Berrios J. 26. Tifner H. 6. Rivera A. 22. Rivera E. 30. Ari Cruz J. 9. Pinto D. 50. Montenegro J.
Substitutes
35. Castillo J. 99. Cervantes A. 36. Chavez J. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 40. Espindola Y. 15. Guerra J. 8. Mamani J. 33. Mamani K. 20. Padilla C. 21. Ramallo D. 19. Robson 32. Suarez R.
42. Ardaya R. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 55. Garcia S. 70. Gomez J. P. 86. Martinez L. 13. Pena I. (G) 10. Quinonez A. 19. Vallejos Y.
Coaches
Alfonso J.
Colinas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Nouet F. ⚽, Montenegro L. S. (A),
33', Rivera E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Pinto D. ⚽, Ari Cruz J. (A),
38', Nouet F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aguilera C. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
57', Nouet F. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
69', Cervantes A. 🟨,
69', Rivera E. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
69', Arancibia A. ↓, Pena I. ↑,
70', Montenegro L. S. ↓, Suarez R. ↑,
70', Galvez V. ↓, Espindola Y. ↑,
75', Melgar V. ↓, Ramallo D. ↑,
78', Ari Cruz J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
78', Montenegro J. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
85', Tifner H. 🟨,
89', Tifner H. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
90+16', 2 - 1, Robles D. ⚽, Bejarano M. (A),
Preview
Tomayapo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Real Oruro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Real Oruro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Real Oruro has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tomayapo for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tomayapo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1.4:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tomayapo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
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Cardenas L. (G) 
Robles D. 
Montenegro L. S. 
Robson 
Quinonez A. 
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