The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guabirá 27.8%
Draw 23.5%
Bolívar 48.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.1%
21.6%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.9%
20.4%
60.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Guabirá - Bolívar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 0.
In recent outings, Guabirá has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bolívar is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guabirá could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bolívar for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guabirá has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:60 (averaging 1.1:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guabirá against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 16:19 goals (averaging 1.6:1.9 per game).