Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Real Oviedo		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.60
	2.05	3	3.75	Watch
	2.11	3.16	4.16
	2.07	3.14	3.99	Watch
	2.05	3.05	4.05
	2.06	3.24	4.02	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.19)	3.91 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
45.6%

Draw
30.3%

Sporting de Gijón
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 21. Jimenez D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 23. Dominguez C. 15. Rodriguez S. 20. Saenz P. 8. Goti Lopez M. 5. Lachhab Y. 11. Gonzalez J. 6. Villahermosa D. 9. Ramos C.	1. Yanez R. (C) 2. Rosas G. 24. Dunabeitia A. 15. Vazquez P. 44. Cuenca A. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 8. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 20. Iosifov N. 19. Otero J. 17. Casas A.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed A. 16. Aldasoro A. 4. Costas D. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Menendez D. 18. Mingo V. 1. Narvaez M. (G) 32. Perez E. 10. Reina A.	13. Arana E. (G) 7. Campos G. 35. Ferreres C. 3. Garcia P. 4. Gularte E. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 27. Prendes E. 23. Saenz J. 5. Sanchez D. 16. Sarco A.
Coaches
Calero J.	Larcamon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ramos C. ⚽, Goti Lopez M. (A),
12', Ramos C. ↓, Reina A. ↑,
18', Rosas G. 🟨,
18', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
39', Vazquez P. 🟨,
45+3', Iosifov N. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
65', Vazquez P. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
65', Casas A. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
66', Corredera A. 🟨,
66', Larcamon N. 🟨,
71', Gonzalez J. ↓, Mingo V. ↑,
71', Villahermosa D. ↓, Aldasoro A. ↑,
73', Rodriguez M. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
73', Rosas G. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
74', Calvo D. 🟨,
74', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
76', Gelabert Pina C. 🟥,
76', Yanez R. 🟨,
77', Jimenez D. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
77', Rodriguez S. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Perez E. ⚽, Mingo V. (A),
90', Cuenca A. 🟨,
90', Ahmed A. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sporting de Gijón could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Oviedo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Oviedo: Chaira I. (Shoulder Injury) Domingues B. (Injury) Fernandez C. (Injury) Isfan A. (Injury) Pedrola E. (Shoulder Injury) Vidal N. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sporting de Gijón: Ferrari A. (Leg Injury) Guillamon H. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sporting de Gijón: Campos G. (Injury) Rubio B. (Injury) de la Fuente K. (Injury).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 0.9:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oviedo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Gijon: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.93%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTWL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.09.26	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Sporting de Gijón - Eldense	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
07.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	3:1
10.02.24	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	1:0
09.09.23	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
13.05.23	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	1:1
17.12.22	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
16.04.22	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	0:1

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