Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3
Mexico	10:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Real Oviedo		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.82	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.80
	2.23	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.74	3.04	3.09
	2.44	3.04	3.19	Watch
	2.70	2.90	3.00
	2.58	3.08	3.04	Watch
	2.50	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	3.01 ↓ (3.14)	2.99 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
37.3%

Draw
31.2%

Eibar
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

32.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Real Oviedo - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Eibar (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -0 - Eibar (2.05) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 21. Jimenez D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 23. Dominguez C. 15. Rodriguez S. 5. Lachhab Y. 16. Aldasoro A. 32. Perez E. 8. Goti Lopez M. 18. Mingo V. 10. Reina A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 4. Elgezabal U. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Bernat J. 8. Madariaga A. 30. Garrido A. 7. Ares A. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 10. Guruzeta J. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed A. 4. Costas D. 27. Franganillo S. (G) 11. Gonzalez J. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Menendez D. 25. Morales J. 1. Narvaez M. (G) 20. Saenz P. 22. Vidal N. 6. Villahermosa D.	15. Amador J. 18. Arana M. 2. Cubero S. 3. Garcia de Albeniz I. 21. Gil I. 20. Javier Marton 1. Lopez L. (G) 5. Nolaskoain P. 28. Nunez L. 14. Olaetxea L. 17. Pejino 19. Perez E.
Coaches
Calero J.	Aranbarri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Goti Lopez M. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
12', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
21', Jimenez D. 🟨,
42', Arbilla A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Dominguez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elgezabal U. ↓, Nolaskoain P. ↑,
53', Dominguez C. 🟨,
59', Guruzeta J. ↓, Pejino ↑,
59', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
65', Mingo V. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
65', Jimenez D. ↓, Vidal N. ↑,
65', Lachhab Y. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
72', Perez E. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
72', Ares A. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Gil I. ⚽, Javier Marton (A),
79', Calvo D. 🟨,
81', Madariaga A. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
83', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Costas D. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Dominguez C. ⚽, Aldasoro A. (A),
90+3', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
90+4', Bernat J. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2.

Oviedo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eibar is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Oviedo holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oviedo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 0.9:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20:13	7	22
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Eibar: 10.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Eibar - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.71%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.26	Eldense - Real Oviedo	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Eldense - Eibar	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Eibar	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:1
29.09.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:0
12.06.24	Eibar - Real Oviedo	0:2
08.06.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	0:0
02.06.24	Eibar - Real Oviedo	4:3
19.11.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	2:1
01.04.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:1

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