Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Real Oviedo		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.50	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.30
	2.25	3.00	3.05
	2.18	3.31	3.52
	2.15	3.27	3.49	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.45
	2.19	3.30	3.55
	2.13	3.20	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	3.41 (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
43.4%

Draw
29.2%

Eibar
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

32.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Real Oviedo - Eibar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 2.

In recent outings, Oviedo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eibar is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Oviedo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oviedo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 0.9:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Eibar: 13.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Eibar - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.71%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.26	Eldense - Real Oviedo	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Eldense - Eibar	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Celta de Vigo B - Eibar	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:1
29.09.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:0
12.06.24	Eibar - Real Oviedo	0:2
08.06.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	0:0
02.06.24	Eibar - Real Oviedo	4:3
19.11.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	2:1
01.04.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:1

Real Oviedo - Eibar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide