Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Real Oviedo B		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.65
	1.7	3.52	4.99
	1.7	3.44	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.8
	1.66	3.34	5.08
	1.64	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	4.95 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo B
54.3%

Draw
27.2%

Atlético Astorga
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Real Oviedo B - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Espi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Oviedo B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Astorga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Oviedo B is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oviedo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo B	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sarriana - Real Oviedo B	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Sámano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.11.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:1
Club Friendly
27.08.22	Atlético Astorga - Real Oviedo B	1:0

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