Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.92	3
	2.41	2.79	3.18	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.57	3.08	2.82
	2.45	2.71	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.02)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
37.8%

Draw
32%

Valladolid B
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Astorga's form might have worsened.

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Carvajal A. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Riki ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, Carvajal A. ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, Alvarez D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Astorga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valladolid B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Astorga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sarriana - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Sámano	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTWT
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Valladolid B - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Langreo - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Valladolid B - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Burgos Promesas - Valladolid B	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Valladolid B - Coruxo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	1:3
19.03.16	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	0:1
01.11.15	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	3:1
11.01.15	Valladolid B - Atlético Astorga	3:3
23.08.14	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	2:1

Upcoming Matches