Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Real Pilar		Atlas General Rodríguez

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	2.02	2.97	3.55
	2	3.25	3.67
	1.87	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.66)	3.19 ↓ (3.55)	3.63 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
46.4%

Draw
28.5%

Atlas General Rodríguez
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.

Atlas General Rodríguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas General Rodríguez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlas General Rodríguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, Digangi M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Mendoza A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
30.04.24	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Real Pilar - Centro Español	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Victoriano Arenas - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
11.04.24	Real Pilar - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTTT
- Atlas General Rodríguez
Argentinian Primera C
28.04.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Argentino de Rosario	3:3 ✺
20.04.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Centro Español - Atlas General Rodríguez	4:2 ✺
01.04.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.09.23	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1
14.05.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Real Pilar	2:1
03.10.22	Atlas General Rodríguez - Real Pilar	1:1
28.05.22	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1
19.09.21	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	4:0
02.05.21	Atlas General Rodríguez - Real Pilar	1:1

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