Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday


	Deportivo Español		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.69	3.25	4.5
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.77	3.39	4.53
	1.74	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.05)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	4.35 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
52.1%

Draw
27.2%

Real Pilar
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Español's performance.

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Pilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Español that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Pilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Deportivo Español - Real Pilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Español will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Monge L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Vivanco G. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Monge L. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Español won 0.

Recent matches Deportivo Español is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Pilar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Español could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Español will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Español won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Español won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
22.04.24	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Deportivo Español - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
10.04.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Deportivo Español - Centro Español	2:2 ✺
27.03.24	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTT
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
21.04.24	Real Pilar - Centro Español	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Victoriano Arenas - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
11.04.24	Real Pilar - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Real Pilar - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.08.23	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	0:1
08.04.23	Real Pilar - Deportivo Español	0:0
09.09.22	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	0:1
06.05.22	Real Pilar - Deportivo Español	2:1
08.10.21	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	0:0
08.06.21	Real Pilar - Deportivo Español	1:0
08.02.20	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	0:2

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