Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday


	Real Pilar		Puerto Nuevo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.87	2.99	4.21
	1.88	3.17	4.17	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.75
	1.85	3.14	4.22
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 (1.84)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	4.21 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
49.3%

Draw
29.1%

Puerto Nuevo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Pilar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Avila S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Hernandez R. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 9 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Pilar won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Pilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Pilar is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Pilar won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Pilar won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
09.08.24	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Real Pilar - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Real Pilar - General Lamadrid	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Ituzaingó - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTTT
- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
10.08.24	Puerto Nuevo - Argentino de Rosario	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	3:2 ✺
27.07.24	Puerto Nuevo - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Deportivo Español - Puerto Nuevo	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Puerto Nuevo - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.03.24	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	2:2
09.09.23	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	2:0
30.04.23	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	1:3
03.07.22	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
28.02.22	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
04.05.19	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
04.12.18	Puerto Nuevo - Real Pilar	0:2

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