Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday


	Real Pilar		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.52	3.84	5.23
	1.54	3.91	5.44	Watch
	1.47	3.96	6.1
	1.53	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.12)	3.85 ↑ (3.3)	5.43 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

Mercedes
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercedes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercedes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Real Pilar - Mercedes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Pilar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mercedes will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Monge L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Real Pilar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Pilar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
27.07.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Real Pilar - General Lamadrid	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Ituzaingó - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Real Pilar - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Real Pilar - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTWL
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
27.07.24	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Mercedes - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
01.07.24	Centro Español - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
02.03.24	Mercedes - Real Pilar	2:2

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