Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 14

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Real SC (Queluz)


	Real SC		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.3
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.09	3.15	3.52
	2.09	3.15	3.52
	2.03	3.25	3.43
	2.03	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)	3.16 ↑ (2.98)	3.41 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
44.5%

Draw
28.8%

Fabril do Barreiro
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

31%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Fabril do Barreiro have a series of guest games.

Real SC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real SC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Real SC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Real SC - Oriental	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Juventude de Évora - Real SC	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real SC - Barreirense	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Lusitano GC - Real SC	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Real SC - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTL
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Louletano - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Elvas - Fabril do Barreiro	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Barreirense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Oriental - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
20.08.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Real SC	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.01.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Real SC	0:2
21.12.19	Real SC - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0

Real SC - Fabril do Barreiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide