Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 8

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.75
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.06	2.9	4.13
	2.06	2.9	4.14
	1.91	3	4.1
	1.94	3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	3.97 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
46.3%

Draw
30.7%

Real SC
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Real SC have a series of home games.

Lusitano GC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.11.23	Lusitano GC - Serpa	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Louletano - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lusitano GC - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWLW
- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
12.11.23	Real SC - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Real SC - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Real SC - Imortal	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Serpa - Real SC	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Real SC - Moncarapachense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.19	Real SC - Lusitano GC	4:1

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