Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Real Salt Lake		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.90	3.90
	1.90	3.90	3.45
	1.81	4.23	3.7	Watch
	1.86	4.15	3.98
	1.73	4.00	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)	4.04 ↑ (4)	3.81 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
52.1%

Draw
23.3%

San Jose Earthquakes
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.

Salt Lake is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

San Jose is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Salt Lake carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Salt Lake has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salt Lake against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

San Jose Earthquakes: 3.2% Real Salt Lake: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Salt Lake - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
26.09.26	Real Salt Lake - New England Revolution	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Seattle Sounders - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Real Salt Lake - New York City	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
26.09.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.07.25	Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1
22.02.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake	4:0
05.10.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake	0:1
24.08.24	Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes	0:2
16.09.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake	2:1
22.04.23	Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes	3:1
30.07.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake	2:2

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