The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego 58.7%
Draw 20.8%
San Jose Earthquakes 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
20.3%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
19.8%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. dos Santos CJ (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 26. Duah M. 97. McVey C. 3. Thorhallsson D. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 12. Gabriel Pirani 10. Dreyer A. 8. Valakari O. 99. Achouri E.
1. Gunn A. (G) 18. Roberts R. 4. Romney D. (C) 5. Munie D. 17. Jasinski J. 6. Harkes I. 34. Leroux B. 87. Vitor Costa 10. Tsakiris N. 9. Jovanovic L. 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 94. Bakambu C. 21. Duke B. 18. Ferree D. (G) 32. Murphy I. 90. Pellegrino A. 5. Sargeant K. 19. Vazquez D. 14. Zamble B. B.
7. Bouda O. 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 28. Kikanovic B. 23. Lowen E. 31. Montali F. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 16. Skahan J. 14. Vieira R.
Coaches
Varas M.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Tsakiris N. ⚽, Leroux B. (A),
7', dos Santos CJ 🟨,
8', Tsakiris N. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 0 - 2, Judd P. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
13', Judd P. 🟨,
18', McVey C. 🟨,
30', Judd P. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
35', 0 - 3, Bouda O. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
37', Bouda O. 🟨,
42', 1 - 3, Dreyer A. ⚽, Valakari O. (A),
45+2', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
45+3', Leroux B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Godoy A. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
46', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Sargeant K. ↑,
46', Jovanovic L. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
46', Roberts R. ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
52', Tverskov J. 🟨,
67', Jasinski J. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
67', Leroux B. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
68', Valakari O. ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
75', Floriani M. 🟨,
80', dos Santos CJ 🟨,
82', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Ferree D. ↑,
90+2', Floriani M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Bakambu C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Vieira R. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In recent matches, San Diego has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Jose is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, San Diego is the team to beat.
There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M.
(Injury)
Sisniega P.
(Back Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Adimabua N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Edwards E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Johnson D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Werner T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Marie P.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Outrights of MLS for now
San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29% San Diego FC: 0.86%
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.