The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 40.4%
Draw 25.8%
San Jose Earthquakes 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
24.4%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
23.7%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
1. Stuver B. (C) 3. Desler M. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 30. Rosales J. 14. Sabovic B. 38. Torres E. 17. Gallagher J. 24. Alastuey J. 9. Vazquez B. 11. Torres F.
1. Gunn A. (G) 25. Floriani M. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 28. Kikanovic B. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 2. Ricketts J. 10. Tsakiris N. 23. Lowen E. 7. Bouda O.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 32. Burton M. 35. Djordjevic M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 77. Placheta P. 21. Ramirez C. 6. Sanchez I.
20. Fernandez N. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 9. Jovanovic L. 19. Judd P. 31. Montali F. (G) 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J. 87. Vitor Costa
Coaches
Arnaud D.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Leroux B. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Gallagher J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
61', Svatok O. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
65', Roberts R. 🟨,
69', Bouda O. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
70', Alastuey J. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
70', Rosales J. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
75', Desler M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
81', Tsakiris N. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
81', Ricketts J. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
81', Kikanovic B. ↓, Jasinski J. ↑,
87', Stuver B. 🟨,
88', Lowen E. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Guilherme Biro ⚽, Ramirez C. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.
Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in San Jose: Adimabua N.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Edwards E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Johnson D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Werner T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 2.5:2.2).
Outrights of MLS for now
San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29% Austin FC: 0.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Austin FC - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Stuver B. (C) 
Desler M. 
Svatok O. 
Guilherme Biro 
Rosales J. 
Sabovic B. 
Gallagher J. 
Alastuey J. 
Torres F. 
Gunn A. (G) 
Vieira R. (C) 
Lowen E. 
Bouda O. 
Bell J. 
Djordjevic M. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Placheta P. 
Jovanovic L. 
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