Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alvaro Gomez Hurtado (Floridablanca)


	Real Santander		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2.1
	3.35	3.23	2.1
	3.43	2.98	2.15	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.25	3.15	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Santander
27.5%

Draw
29.6%

Junior Barranquilla
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Acosta A. (G) 13. Martinez Z. 21. Insuasty L. 23. Colmenares M. 16. Castro P. 7. Cordoba M. 10. Garcia S. 6. Grajales W. 18. Cano D. 22. Valero D. 9. Caile Y. (C)	1. Reyes L. (G) 16. Carrasquilla D. 23. Martinez F. 5. Moreno Y. 13. Vega E. 20. Sanchez Y. 25. Castano L. 10. Navarro L. 9. Ruiz J. 21. Martinez T. 7. Baldovino M.
Substitutes
11. Antero N. 24. Aroca V. (G) 8. Badillo V. 25. Pineda W. 20. Rodriguez M. 5. Toloza L.	15. Bonett S. 22. Garnica L. (G) 19. Gomez N. 6. Herrera R. 18. Julio D. 4. Paez M. 11. Santos E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sanchez Y. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Cordoba M. ⚽, Martinez Z. (A),
35', 🟨,
40', Martinez Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valero D. ↓, Parra E. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Baldovino M. ⚽,
53', Acosta A. 🟨,
64', Grajales W. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Cano D. ↓, Badillo V. ↑,
64', Martinez T. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
80', Caile Y. 🟨,
83', Caile Y. ↓, Antero N. ↑,
84', Sanchez Y. ↓, Bonett S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Real Santander has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Junior has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander Women
Colombian Liga Women
09.05.26	Deportivo Cali - Real Santander	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Real Santander - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Real Santander	5:0 ✺
30.03.26	Real Santander - Llaneros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Junior Barranquilla Women
Colombian Liga Women
11.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Llaneros - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
30.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
07.04.25	Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
18.02.24	Junior Barranquilla - Real Santander	1:3
11.02.23	Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
27.02.22	Junior Barranquilla - Real Santander	3:0

Real Santander - Junior Barranquilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide