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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad 43.6%
Draw 26.5%
Atlético Madrid 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
27.7%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
25.8%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 4. Aparicio N. 3. Vicente A. (C) 24. Agirrezabala A. 21. Ramirez E. 8. Jacinto A. 5. Fernandez P. 18. Lavogez C. 7. Pardo L. 9. Uria Gabilondo M.
1. Lola (C) 22. Luany 4. Lauren Leal 3. Medina A. 11. Menayo C. 14. Otermin R. 21. Iannuzzi F. 27. Martin N. 6. Boe Risa V. 7. Jensen S. 18. Gio Garbelini
Substitutes
22. Cahynova K. 14. Eguiguren I. 10. Eizaguirre N. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 2. Florentino C. 11. Marcos C. 28. Soroa I.
17. Bartel J. 40. Catalina L. 16. Chinchilla P. 9. Guijarro S. 12. Kuhl K. 13. Larque P. (G) 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L. 20. Sarriegi A.
Coaches
Ruiz A.
Herrera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Pardo L. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Menayo C. 🟨,
57', Uria Gabilondo M. ↓, Cahynova K. ↑,
60', Boe Risa V. ↓, Sarriegi A. ↑,
65', Medina A. 🟨,
69', Lavogez C. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
69', Ramirez E. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,
69', Pardo L. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
69', Otermin R. ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
70', Menayo C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
70', Gio Garbelini ↓, Chinchilla P. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Marcos C. ⚽, Eizaguirre N. (A),
86', Luany ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
87', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Florentino C. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 5).
Real Sociedad is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.
Real Sociedad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético Madrid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).