What is the expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Real Sociedad vs Espanyol. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 24, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Sociedad		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.78	3.61	5.24
	1.86	3.37	4.38	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.82	3.77	4.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	4.78 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
53%

Draw
27.1%

Espanyol
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

31%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	6.8%	13.6%

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Predictions

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Espanyol (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Espanyol (1.82) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Real Sociedad (1.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Espanyol (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Real Sociedad (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (35 of 44 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 91.47%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 14 - 56%). Espanyol (votes: 8 - 32%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 17. Gomez S. 8. Turrientes B. 14. Kubo T. 24. Sucic L. 28. Marin P. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 15. Rubio M. 6. Cabrera L. 22. Romero C. 10. Lozano P. 8. Exposito 24. Dolan T. 11. Milla P. 7. Puado J. (C) 9. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 15. Gonzalez U. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 11. Guedes G. 19. Karrikaburu J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Traore H. 21. Zakharyan A.	28. Bauza R. 5. Calero F. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 19. Garcia K. 31. Hinojo R. 17. Jofre 16. Koleosho L. 4. Ramon P. 20. Roca A. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R. 14. Terrats R.
Coaches
Francisco S.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Milla P. ⚽, Fernandez Jaen R. (A),
44', Puado J. (Pen),
44', Exposito 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Puado J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Sucic L. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
56', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Barrenetxea A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
70', Milla P. ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
70', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
70', Lozano P. ↓, Calero F. ↑,
71', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
72', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
75', Gorrotxategi J. 🟨,
79', Martin J. 🟨,
80', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
81', Exposito ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
86', Dolan T. ↓, Roca A. ↑,
90+5', Calero F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 5.

Real Sociedad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Espanyol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Espanyol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Sociedad is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Espanyol: Hernandez J. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Espanyol - the odds 4.75 are the expected chance of winning is 19.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
16.08.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Real Sociedad - Rennes	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTTW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
17.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Newcastle United - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Union Berlin - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Wolfsburg - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Espanyol - Southampton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.02.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
24.08.24	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	0:1
13.02.23	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	2:3
18.09.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
04.04.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	1:0
28.11.21	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	1:0
02.07.20	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1

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