Match Info

LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	Persiana Sports 2
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Sociedad		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	4	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.95
	1.96	3.6	4.2
	1.9	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.97	3.66	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)	4.07 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
49.7%

Draw
26.9%

Osasuna
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Osasuna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	23.8%	7.1%

Real Sociedad - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 29 - 69%). Osasuna will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 55% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Osasuna (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Osasuna (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 7. Barrenetxea A. 18. Soler C. 8. Turrientes B. 11. Guedes G. 23. Mendez B. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 24. Catena A. 22. Boyomo F. 20. Galan J. 7. Moncayola J. (C) 6. Torro L. 21. Munoz V. 10. Oroz A. 18. Moro R. 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
6. Elustondo A. 41. Folgado T. (G) 32. Fraga A. (G) 4. Gorrotxategi J. 12. Herrera Y. 19. Karrikaburu J. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.	41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 23. Bretones A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Gomez M. 5. Herrando J. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 2 - 0, Guedes G. ⚽, Turrientes B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Torro L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
46', Moro R. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Guedes G. ⚽, Turrientes B. (A),
58', Catena A. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
59', Turrientes B. 🟨,
63', Guedes G. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
63', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
63', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
66', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
69', Herrera Y. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
74', Oroz A. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Munoz V. ⚽, Barja K. (A),
78', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
82', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
84', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
84', Moncayola J. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Real Sociedad is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Munoz A. (Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Garcia R. (Yellow Cards) Garcia R. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
14.02.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTL
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Osasuna - Mallorca	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Osasuna - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:2 penalties
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:3
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	4:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.02.25	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
02.02.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	2:1
27.10.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	0:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	1:2

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