Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Sociedad		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.63	4.4	5.51
	1.58	4.36	5.47	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.63	4.49	5.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	4.31 ↑ (4.03)	5.19 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
59.6%

Draw
22.1%

Levante
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	15.4%	3.8%

Real Sociedad - Levante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Real Sociedad (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 7. Barrenetxea A. 8. Turrientes B. 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 11. Guedes G.	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela (C) 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Rey O. 17. Garcia V. 18. Losada I. 26. Tunde K. 19. Espi C.
Substitutes
46. Aguirre I. 38. Beitia L. 6. Elustondo A. 19. Karrikaburu J. 14. Kubo T. 15. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 9. Oskarsson O. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A.	55. Abed T. 24. Alvarez C. 16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes F. 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Etta Eyong K. 10. Martinez P. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 29. Perez N. 14. Raghouber U. 9. Romero I.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sanchez M. 🟨,
15', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
17', Moreno M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Martin J. ⚽, Soler C. (A),
31', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Losada I. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
46', Moreno M. ↓, Matturro A. ↑,
54', Espi C. 🟨,
59', Tunde K. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
59', Rey O. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
63', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
64', Sucic L. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
69', Caleta-Car D. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
81', Garcia V. ↓, Abed T. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Mendez B. ⚽, Marin P. (A),
85', Guedes G. ↓, Aguirre I. ↑,
85', Turrientes B. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
87', Martin J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Muscle Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Ochieng J. (Muscle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Inactive) Vencedor U. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Levante - Real Oviedo	4:2 ✺
16.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Levante - Girona	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.12.25	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1
06.05.22	Levante - Real Sociedad	2:1
28.08.21	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:0
07.03.21	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:0
19.12.20	Levante - Real Sociedad	2:1
06.07.20	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1
30.10.19	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:2

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