Match Info

SPAIN: Liga F Women - Round 23

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Instalaciones de Zubieta (Lasarte-Oria)

Referee: Gil Soriano E. (Esp)


	Real Sociedad		Sporting de Huelva

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.75
	1.36	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.76
	1.39	4.81	7.76
	1.36	4.62	7.75
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.62 ↓ (5.03)	7.27 ↓ (8.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
67.3%

Draw
20%

Sporting de Huelva
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

18.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

11.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sporting de Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Huelva than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Real Sociedad - Sporting de Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lete Para E. (G) 21. Ramirez E. 3. Tejada Jimenez A. 6. Etxezarreta A. 23. Bernabe A. 9. Franssi S. 5. Arnaiz I. 8. Jacinto A. 10. Eizaguirre N. 18. Uria Gabilondo M. 7. Sarriegi A.	13. Mersnik Z. (G) 14. Balleste L. 5. Yannel 15. Ojeda P. 4. Carrasco R. 6. Cienfu 16. Castello S. (C) 23. Kojima M. 9. Ruiz M. 12. Lopez B. 11. Hmirova P.
Substitutes
4. Aparicio N. 30. Guridi E. 20. Jensen S. 11. Marcos C. 19. Navarro L. 13. Santana O. (G) 14. Sarasola I.	3. Ana Carol 18. Bokiri J. 17. Dybdahl R. 10. Hagman S. 7. Margraf A. 19. Romero P. 30. Saldana I. (G)
Coaches
Arroyo N.	Romero F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Uria Gabilondo M. ⚽, Eizaguirre N. (A),
19', Lopez B. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Carrasco R. ⚽, Kojima M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Carrasco R. 🟨,
58', Uria Gabilondo M. ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
66', Ramirez E. ↓, Sarasola I. ↑,
66', Eizaguirre N. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
77', Lopez B. ↓, Hagman S. ↑,
79', Cienfu ↓, Dybdahl R. ↑,
82', Etxezarreta A. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,
85', Navarro L. 🟨,
88', Carrasco R. ↓, Bokiri J. ↑,
88', Ruiz M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
90+2', Mersnik Z. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 5.

Real Sociedad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting de Huelva has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Real Sociedad is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
30.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Betis - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
13.03.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
10.03.24	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWL
- Sporting de Huelva
Spanish Liga F Women
31.03.24	Sporting de Huelva - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Madrid CFF - Sporting de Huelva	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sporting de Huelva - Levante	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético Madrid - Sporting de Huelva	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Sporting de Huelva - Valencia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa De La Reina
14.01.24	Sporting de Huelva - Real Sociedad	1:4
Spanish Liga F Women
09.12.23	Sporting de Huelva - Real Sociedad	1:2
29.01.23	Real Sociedad - Sporting de Huelva	4:0
Spanish Supercopa Women
18.01.23	Real Sociedad - Sporting de Huelva	1:0
Spanish Liga F Women
22.10.22	Sporting de Huelva - Real Sociedad	0:2
27.03.22	Sporting de Huelva - Real Sociedad	1:2
12.12.21	Real Sociedad - Sporting de Huelva	2:2

Real Sociedad - Sporting de Huelva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide