Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Referee: Gil M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Ellas V


	Sevilla		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.35	3.5	1.68
	4.66	3.95	1.66	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.67
	4.68	3.64	1.64
	4.75	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (5.77)	3.63 ↓ (4.21)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
19.9%

Draw
25.1%

Real Sociedad
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.4%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sevilla - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 24. Marques A. 16. Arnaiz I. 4. Alvarez I. 7. Morcillo R. 6. Redondo A. 10. Cortes M. 20. Marquez R. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 23. Gabarro I.	1. Estensoro A. (G) 4. Aparicio N. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. (C) 21. Ramirez E. 8. Jacinto A. 5. Fernandez P. 11. Marcos C. 18. Lavogez C. 7. Pardo L. 9. Uria Gabilondo M.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez A. 19. Cerrato A. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 21. Gili Giner G. 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 11. Moral L. 34. Torres J.	24. Agirrezabala A. 13. Arrula J. (G) 22. Cahynova K. 14. Eguiguren I. 10. Eizaguirre N. 6. Guridi E. 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M.
Coaches
Losada D.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Aparicio N. 🟨,
34', Uria Gabilondo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pardo L. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
51', Jacinto A. ↓, Cahynova K. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Sullastres E. (Own goal),
62', Cortes M. ↓, Martin-Pozuelo E. ↑,
70', Uria Gabilondo M. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
70', Marcos C. ↓, Agirrezabala A. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Eizaguirre N. ⚽, Eguiguren I. (A),
83', Morcillo R. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
83', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
84', Arnaiz I. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
84', Ramirez E. ↓, Guridi E. ↑,
90+2', Marques A. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 3.

Recent performances by Sevilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Real Sociedad is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sevilla FC W	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Sevilla - Alhama	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTW
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	5:5 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad	1:4 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Sociedad - Alhama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
13.09.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	3:0
02.03.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:0
07.09.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	3:2
30.03.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	4:2
18.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	1:2
12.02.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	0:3
02.10.22	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	2:2

Sevilla - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide