Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Instalaciones de Zubieta (Lasarte-Oria)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Ellas V


	Real Sociedad		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.55	5.21
	1.74	3.91	4.07	Watch
	1.69	3.47	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.62 ↓ (3.91)	4.85 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
55.2%

Draw
25.6%

Athletic Bilbao
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 20. Molina M. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. (C) 5. Fernandez P. 8. Jacinto A. 22. Cahynova K. 18. Lavogez C. 14. Eguiguren I. 24. Agirrezabala A.	13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 3. Landaluze N. 4. Bibi 17. Nevado N. 8. Zubieta M. 6. Oguiza I. (C) 18. Ortega S. 15. Pinedo C. 30. Agote D. 21. Campos A.
Substitutes
19. Aparicio A. 4. Aparicio N. 10. Eizaguirre N. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 6. Guridi E. 23. Imade E. 11. Marcos C. 17. Maren 7. Pardo L. 21. Ramirez E. 31. Ugartemendia A. (G) 9. Uria Gabilondo M.	23. Arana E. 11. Azkona A. 14. Banos L. 33. Gurtubay E. 9. Sanadri 1. Santana O. (G) 2. Torre Larranaga M. 5. Valero M. 19. Vilarino M. 10. Zugasti P.
Coaches
Ruiz A.	Lerga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Oguiza I. 🟨,
60', Lavogez C. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
60', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,
62', Oguiza I. ↓, Banos L. ↑,
62', Campos A. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Agote D. ⚽, Azkona A. (A),
71', Molina M. ↓, Aparicio N. ↑,
71', Eguiguren I. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
75', Azkona A. 🟨,
75', Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 🟨,
78', Ortega S. ↓, Valero M. ↑,
78', Pinedo C. ↓, Arana E. ↑,
78', Florentino C. ↓, Pardo L. ↑,
82', Valero M. 🟨,
88', Agote D. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Eizaguirre N. (Pen),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.

Real Sociedad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Sociedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Sociedad - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 55.7 WWWTL
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
08.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Logroño United	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Alhama - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
16.02.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	2:0
17.11.24	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
23.03.24	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
22.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	2:1
02.04.23	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
19.11.22	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:3
Club Friendly Women
28.08.22	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	3:1

Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide