Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Real Sociedad B		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.22	Watch
	3.56	3.27	2.27
	3.43	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.52	3.26	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.11)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	2.21 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
27.7%

Draw
29.6%

Sporting de Gijón
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 29. Garro J. 5. Rodriguez P. (C) 37. Calderon I. 3. Balda J. 14. Carbonell T. 17. Astiazaran L. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 31. Aguirre I. 11. Ochieng J. 18. Carrera G.	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 6. Nacho Martin 10. Gelabert Pina C. 14. Corredera A. 11. Queipo D. 19. Otero J. (C)
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 7. Diaz D. 19. Marchal A. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 26. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 39. Unax A.	8. Bernal J. 9. Caicedo J. 7. Campos G. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 34. Garcia A. D. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 36. Rodriguez M. 20. Vazquez K. 15. Vazquez P.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ochieng J. 🟨,
29', Perrin L. 🟨,
29', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perrin L. ↓, Vazquez P. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
58', Queipo D. 🟨,
64', Nacho Martin 🟨,
69', Calderon I. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
69', Aguirre I. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
69', Ochieng J. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
70', Queipo D. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
72', Eceizabarrena J. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
72', Smith J. 🟨,
74', Curbelo E. 🟨,
76', Marchal A. 🟨,
79', Smith J. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
81', Astiazaran L. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
84', Corredera A. 🟨,
90+1', Nacho Martin ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Real Sociedad B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting de Gijón could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Kita K. (Red Card) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Dubasin J. (Muscle Injury) Garcia P. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Gorosabel G. (Injury) Rodriguez M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Campos G. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad B - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30.42%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
08.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTLW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.22	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
12.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	0:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	0:2

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