Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting de Gijón		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.35	2.98	3.1	Watch
	2.48	3.05	3.39
	2.23	3.00	3.61	Watch
	2.43	3.08	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.23)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.33 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
39.9%

Draw
31.6%

Eibar
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

31.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	18.5%	18.5%

Sporting de Gijón - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Eibar will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Eibar (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Eibar (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Eibar (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 14. Corredera A. 7. Campos G. 6. Martin N. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 18. Coundoul A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 21. Moreno M. 4. Arambarri A. 23. Arbilla A. 17. Corpas J. 30. Garrido A. 6. Alvarez S. 19. Villa T. 20. Javier Marton 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 23. Curbelo E. 34. Garcia A. D. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 11. Queipo D. 38. Riestra N. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J.	7. Alkain X. 3. Arrillaga H. 24. Buta L. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 16. Madariaga A. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 14. Olaetxea L. 22. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Corpas J. ⚽, Bautista J. (A),
18', Arambarri A. 🟨,
20', Perrin L. 🟨,
29', Arambarri A. ↓, Jair ↑,
45+1', Villa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Corpas J. 🟨,
55', Rosas G. 🟨,
66', Garrido A. 🟨,
66', Villa T. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
68', Coundoul A. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
68', Campos G. ↓, Riestra N. ↑,
73', Caicedo J. 🟨,
76', Jair 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Dubasin J. (Pen),
81', Garrido A. ↓, Olaetxea L. ↑,
81', Javier Marton ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
90+3', Martin N. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
90+3', Corpas J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 3.

Sporting de Gijón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eibar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eibar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting de Gijón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Joel C. (Surgery) Loum M. (Injury) Otero J. (Injury) Vazquez K. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Ares A. (Knee Injury) Guruzeta J. (Injury) Nolaskoain P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Garcia P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Eibar - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 26.16%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWWW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.25	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Almería - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Náxara - Eibar	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Eibar - Leganés	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	0:0
05.10.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:0
20.12.23	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
20.05.23	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	2:2
17.10.22	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	2:0

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