Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 3

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Real Oruro		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.60	2.15
	3.20	3.60	1.88	Watch
	3.30	4.05	1.88
	3.21	3.86	2	Watch
	2.50	3.55	2.07
	2.63	3.68	2.40	Watch
	3.00	3.65	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.72)	3.71 ↑ (3.46)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
31.1%

Draw
24.6%

Nacional Potosí
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 40. Vargas F. 5. Corulo L. 16. Chore C. 48. Berrios J. 32. Mendez R. 42. Ardaya R. 22. Rivera E. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 19. Vallejos Y. 10. Quinonez A.	1. Arauz E. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 5. Alvarez S. 26. Quiroz K. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 15. Arce Pari J. 18. Azogue P. (C) 7. Solis M. 27. Abastoflor C. 19. Alvarez W.
Substitutes
1. Arancibia A. (G) 30. Ari Cruz J. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 18. Calle Y. 55. Garcia S. 33. Gatti F. 70. Gomez J. P. 86. Martinez L. 50. Montenegro J. 9. Pinto D. 26. Tifner H. 37. Velez J.	33. Demiquel L. 23. Galindo P. (G) 22. Hoyos D. 14. Juan Batista 34. Medina K. 10. Nunez M. 28. Pena S. 9. Tobar T. 11. Tomianovic M. 16. Torrico A. 99. Villalba D. 29. Weslen Junior
Coaches
Colinas N.	Villegas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Quiroz K. 🟨,
39', Chore C. 🟨,
42', Quinonez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ardaya R. ↓, Tifner H. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽, Abastoflor C. (A),
58', Quinonez A. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
58', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
62', Rivera E. 🟨,
78', Solis M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
78', Arce Pari J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
78', Abastoflor C. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
81', Rivera E. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
81', Berrios J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
84', Alvarez S. ↓, Demiquel L. ↑,
88', Quiroz K. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Alvarez W. ⚽, Pavia L. (A),

Preview

Real Oruro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nacional Potosí is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nacional Potosí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nacional Potosí has had a series of home games.

Nacional Potosí could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Oruro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.26	Real Oruro - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.08.26	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	Blooming - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Real Oruro - Bolívar	2:4 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.08.26	Always Ready - Real Oruro	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLL
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.09.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Nacional Potosí - ABB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
20.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	1:4
11.12.25	Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí	1:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.10.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	0:0
11.10.25	Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí	1:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.07.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	2:3

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