Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)


	Universitario de Sucre		Universitario de Vinto

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	2.12	3.3	2.95
	2.16	3.35	2.95
	2.2	3.53	3.12
				Watch
	2.17	3.48	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.81)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
42.7%

Draw
27%

Universitario de Vinto
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Sucre's form might have worsened.

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Vinto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitario de Sucre will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).

Universitario is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universitario de Vinto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universitario de Vinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Universitario will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Nacional Potosí	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Always Ready - Universitario de Sucre	4:0 ✺
27.07.22	Universitario de Sucre - Royal Pari	1:0 ✺
24.07.22	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Sucre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL
- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.08.22	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	0:3 ✺
07.08.22	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	3:2 ✺
03.08.22	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	2:2 ✺
30.07.22	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
27.07.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
11.12.21	Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto	1:1
03.12.21	Universitario de Vinto - Universitario de Sucre	2:1

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