The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Sucre 42.7%
Draw 27%
Universitario de Vinto 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
25.9%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
25.4%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Sucre's form might have worsened.
Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Vinto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universitario de Sucre will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).
Universitario is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Universitario de Vinto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Universitario de Vinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Universitario will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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