Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 8

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Real Tomayapo		Aurora

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.3	Watch
				Watch
	2.56	3.7	2.54
	2.74	3.38	2.43	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.58	3.64	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
35.5%

Draw
25.8%

Aurora
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Real Tomayapo - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rehak G. (G) 24. Arguello J. 2. Scolari J. 5. Corulo L. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 21. Ramallo D. 38. Cuiza S. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 35. Castillo J. 29. Lorono B. 7. Arabe C.	12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 5. Amarilla A. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 69. Terrazas A. 10. Ramallo R. 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
22. Adorno C. (G) 13. Barbery Gil M. G. 99. Blackburn R. 11. Chajtur M. 14. Galvez V. 45. Lopez F. 33. Mamani K. 12. Ribera J. 19. Robson 32. Suarez R. 26. Verdugo A. 28. Wayar D.	2. Aguada M. 20. Araujo J. 16. Barro L. 27. Flores A. 14. Lopez P. 11. Olivera D. 7. Ramos J. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 33. Troncoso Caiti E. 28. Vaca O.
Coaches
de la Riva F.	Umana G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Altamirano S. 🟨,
44', Arguello J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
54', Lorono B. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
54', Arguello J. ↓, Verdugo A. ↑,
60', Rangel M. ↓, Olivera D. ↑,
60', Altamirano S. ↓, Aguada M. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Olivera D. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
70', Cuiza S. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Ortiz M. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
74', Terrazas A. ↓, Barro L. ↑,
77', Scolari J. ↓, Blackburn R. ↑,
80', Chajtur M. 🟥,
84', Amarilla A. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
84', Ortiz M. ↓, Vaca O. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3.

Recent performances by Tomayapo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aurora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aurora has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30
15	Tomayapo	20	4	4	12	15:39	-24	16

Last Results with these Odds

Aurora - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.05.26	Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	6:0 ✺
23.04.26	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Real Tomayapo - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTT
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.05.26	Aurora - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Aurora - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
27.04.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	GVCD San José - Aurora	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Aurora - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
19.09.25	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	1:2
03.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	0:0
13.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	2:1
26.08.24	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	0:0
24.08.23	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	1:2
10.04.23	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	2:1
19.08.22	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	3:0

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