Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.20	2.15
	2.85	3.10	2.20
	2.70	3.05	2.35
	3.00	3.30	2.37
	2.64	3.2	2.64	Watch
	2.80	3.25	2.30
	3.03	3.04	2.24
	2.95	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.68)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	2.3 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
31.7%

Draw
28.8%

Mirandés
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tena J. (C) 17. Medina U. 5. Martinez G. 4. Pola J. 3. Mateo A. 6. Gaubeka B. 23. Sangalli L. 15. Merquelanz M. 20. Martin A. 7. Garcia U. 11. Galarza A.	1. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Aguirregabiria M. 21. Arambarri A. 5. Rodriguez P. 17. Perez P. 19. Riki 16. Lozano M. (C) 8. Martinez R. 23. Dorrio J. 9. Unzueta I. 11. Uzkudun A.
Substitutes
21. Albizua U. 8. Alvarez P. 19. Azkune E. 22. de la Mata J. 13. Emery L. (G) 2. Fontan J. 26. Hussaini Muhammad M. 28. Mancisidor M. 14. Tallal Y.	3. Arrillaga H. 14. Auria M. 13. Badia E. (G) 7. de la Iglesia D. 10. Espinosa N. 26. Martinez Landa J. 4. Navarro C. 15. Pedernales I. 18. Rodri 20. Rodrigo Tapia A. 6. Verde A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Arambarri A. 🟨,
35', Riki 🟨,
44', Martinez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
61', Dorrio J. ↓, Rodrigo Tapia A. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Uzkudun A. ⚽, Lozano M. (A),
66', 1 - 1, Medina U. ⚽,
67', Unzueta I. ↓, Auria M. ↑,
70', Gaubeka B. ↓, de la Mata J. ↑,
70', Merquelanz M. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
70', Martinez G. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
70', Auria M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Riki ⚽,
80', Riki ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
80', Uzkudun A. ↓, Martinez Landa J. ↑,
80', Perez P. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
80', Martin A. ↓, Mancisidor M. ↑,
80', Mateo A. ↓, Tallal Y. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Sangalli L. ⚽,
90+7', Galarza A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 1.

Real Unión is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mirandés has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Mirandés has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Unión has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Unión against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mirandes	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
9	R. Union	6	2	2	2	13:11	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Ferrol - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
30.08.26	Real Unión de Irun - Coria	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Real Unión de Irun - Osasuna B	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Pau - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWWW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.09.26	Mérida AD - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Cacereño - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	La Calzada - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.19	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	0:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.02.19	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	4:3
06.02.19	Mirandés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.10.18	Mirandés - Real Unión de Irun	2:2
28.04.18	Mirandés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
03.12.17	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	0:3

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