The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portugalete 31.2%
Draw 28.7%
Real Unión de Irun 40%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.7%
27%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
26.6%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Portugalete - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Real Unión could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Real Unión is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Portugalete has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portugalete against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).