Match Info

Druha Liga - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Rebel Kyiv		Penuel

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.24	6.92	Watch
	1.35	4	10
	1.33	4.95	6.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.4 ↑ (4)	7.93 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebel Kyiv
67.5%

Draw
20.9%

Penuel
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

22.9%

9.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

21.9%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebel Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Penuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebel Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penuel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Rebel Kyiv - Penuel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Andrukhiv B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Klymenko V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 11).

Recent performances by Rebel have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Penuel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Penuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rebel is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rebel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebel Kyiv
Ukrainian Druha Liga
12.10.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Rebel Kyiv	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rebel Kyiv - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Rebel Kyiv	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Rebel Kyiv - Livyi Bereh 2	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Rebel Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLWW
- Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Ukrainian Druha Liga
04.10.25	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Penuel	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Penuel	5:0 ✺
03.09.25	Penuel - Oleksandriya 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Penuel - Chornomorets Odesa 2	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Penuel - Karpaty Lviv	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
10.08.25	Penuel - Rebel Kyiv	2:3

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