Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Azevido (Rebordosa)


	Rebordosa		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.95	5.9
	1.57	4.54	4
	1.54	4.54	4.51	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.6
	1.47	4.35	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)	4.26 ↑ (4.18)	4.85 ↓ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
60%

Draw
21.3%

Aparecida
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.8%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20.5%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rebordosa's form might have worsened.

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aparecida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aparecida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rebordosa - Aparecida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Rebordosa is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Rebordosa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aparecida has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rebordosa is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Rebordosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rebordosa - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Rebordosa - Anadia	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Gouveia - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Anadia - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Aparecida - Rebordosa	0:3

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