Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Aparecida		Resende

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.74	2.91	2.53
	2.72	2.96	2.58	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.45
	2.7	2.88	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)	2.91 ↑ (2.78)	2.53 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
33.6%

Draw
30.9%

Resende
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Aparecida - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Anadia - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aparecida - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	União Lamas - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLWT
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Resende - Salgueiros 08	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Beira-Mar - Resende	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Resende - Anadia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gouveia - Resende	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.10.25	Resende - Aparecida	0:0

Aparecida - Resende: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide