Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Recambios Colón		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	4.55	2.92	1.82
	5.32	2.98	1.78
	4.79	3.09	1.82	Watch
	4.5	2.9	1.83
	5.12	2.93	1.77
	5.33	2.9	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (5.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
18.5%

Draw
30.8%

Castellonense
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

28.3%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.3%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Recambios Colón - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recambios Colón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Castellonense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castellonense is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Recambios Colón	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Recambios Colón - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Recambios Colón - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Recambios Colón - Soneja	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.01.26	Castellonense - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Levante B - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atzeneta - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Castellonense - Hércules B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.09.25	Castellonense - Recambios Colón	1:1

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