Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Atzeneta		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.98	2.25
	10.79	4.83	1.28	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.12	2.95	2.26
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atzeneta
21.8%

Draw
30%

Castellonense
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

27.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atzeneta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atzeneta's form might have worsened.

Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atzeneta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atzeneta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Atzeneta - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Atzeneta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellonense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castellonense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atzeneta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atzeneta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Atzeneta	5	0	4	1	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atzeneta UE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Atzeneta - Crevillente Deportivo	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Soneja - Atzeneta	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atzeneta - Buñol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLLW
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Castellonense - Hércules B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Castellonense - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.05.25	Castellonense - Atzeneta	0:1
11.01.25	Atzeneta - Castellonense	1:1
20.01.24	Atzeneta - Castellonense	1:0

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