Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Recambios Colón		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.35	1.58
	5.47	3.30	1.68	Watch
	6	3.3	1.53
	6.92	3.44	1.5
	7	3.66	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (4.4)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
14.7%

Draw
26.7%

La Nucía
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28.1%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recambios Colón's form might have worsened.

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Nucía's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recambios Colón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Nucía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recambios Colón - La Nucía Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Nucía (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recambios Colón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

La Nucía has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, La Nucía is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Recambios Colón - Soneja	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Buñol - Recambios Colón	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Recambios Colón - Utiel	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Vall de Uxó - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLTT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	La Nucía - Torrellano	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Levante B - La Nucía	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules B - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Ontinyent 1931 - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.02.18	La Nucía - Recambios Colón	1:0

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