Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 34

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pineto		Recanatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.2	4.17
	1.95	3.19	4.17
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.87	3.3	3.87
	1.94	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.87 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
48%

Draw
28.3%

Recanatese
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Pineto - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 23. De Santis S. 28. Ingrosso G. 14. Marafini A. 27. Baggi F. 10. Sannipoli D. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 19. Borsoi M. 9. Gambale D. 7. Volpicelli E.	1. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 54. Peretti M. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 24. Raparo M. 31. Fiorini M. 7. Pelamatti A. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 29. Chakir A. 20. Della Quercia R. 24. Evangelisti N. 77. Foglia M. 82. Iaccarino P. 17. Manu D. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 11. Njambe M. 99. Pellegrino A. 39. Tavoni F. (G) 70. Teraschi M. 66. Traini D. 30. Villa L.	74. Ahmetaj M. 3. Allievi N. 36. Ferretti D. 21. Guidobaldi F. 11. Lipari M. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 16. Morrone B. 4. Prisco A. 33. Rizzo F. 2. Veltri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Peretti M. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fiorini M. ↓, Morrone B. ↑,
71', Ingrosso G. 🟨,
72', Gambale D. ↓, Chakir A. ↑,
72', Amadio S. ↓, Manu D. ↑,
79', Marafini A. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
79', Borsoi M. ↓, Teraschi M. ↑,
81', Raparo M. ↓, Ferretti D. ↑,
81', Melchiorri F. ↓, Guidobaldi F. ↑,
88', Sannipoli D. ↓, Baggi F. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Pineto is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Pineto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.03.24	Perugia - Pineto	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Pineto - Arezzo	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Fermana - Pineto	1:1 ✺
05.03.24	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
01.03.24	Pineto - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTTT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Olbia - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sestri Levante - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Recanatese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Perugia - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.11.23	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Pineto - Recanatese	0:4
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.02.22	Pineto - Recanatese	0:1
17.10.21	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1
21.03.21	Recanatese - Pineto	2:2
04.11.20	Pineto - Recanatese	0:0
09.11.19	Recanatese - Pineto	1:1

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