The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notaresco 50.3%
Draw 27.7%
Recanatese 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27.6%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notaresco's performance.
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recanatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notaresco - Recanatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Paudice L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Pjetri E. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Notaresco is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Watch
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