The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notaresco 52.1%
Draw 26.1%
Recanatese 21.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.1%
27.8%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
26.7%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Notaresco - Recanatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Melloni L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bookmakers give the edge to Notaresco for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Notaresco has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:15 (averaging 2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Notaresco against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
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