Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Nicola Tubaldi (Recanati)


	Recanatese		Maceratese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	1.92	3.15	3.55
	2.03	3.31	3.34	Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.05
	2.23	3.22	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)	3.25 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
43.9%

Draw
28.4%

Maceratese
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Recanatese - Maceratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Marras N. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 1 - 1, Ruani E. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Casolla F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 14th).

Maceratese could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Recanatese holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Recanatese has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Recanatese against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
15	Recanatese	6	1	3	2	8:9	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.09.26	Lanciano - Recanatese	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Recanatese - Montecchio Gallo	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Recanatese - Foligno	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Santegidiese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Chieti - Recanatese	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWT?
- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.09.26	Maceratese - Santegidiese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Maceratese - Ancona	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Chieti - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.04.26	Maceratese - Recanatese	2:1
30.11.25	Recanatese - Maceratese	2:2

Recanatese - Maceratese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide