Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 3

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Maceratese		Ancona

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.90	1.47
	4.1	3.3	1.72
	6.47	3.97	1.39
	6.63	4.06	1.44	Watch
	6.3	3.85	1.36
	7.09	3.94	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↑ (3.95)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	1.46 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
15%

Draw
23.5%

Ancona
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maceratese's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.

Maceratese - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maceratese won 1.

Ancona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ancona is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maceratese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maceratese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ancona	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ancona - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
13.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Chieti - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Maceratese - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Maceratese - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.09.26	Ancona - Montecchio Gallo	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Notaresco - Ancona	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:3 ET ✺
03.05.26	Ancona - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	L Aquila - Ancona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Ancona - Maceratese	4:0
26.10.25	Maceratese - Ancona	1:5
Italian Serie C Group B
29.01.17	Ancona - Maceratese	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.11.16	Ancona - Maceratese	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.16	Maceratese - Ancona	0:0
21.02.16	Maceratese - Ancona	1:1
10.10.15	Ancona - Maceratese	1:1

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