Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Play Out - FinalDate: 17 May 2026, SundayLocation: Nicola Tubaldi (Recanati)
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Recanatese |
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San Marino Calcio |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.4 |
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1.95 |
3.05 |
3.65 |
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2.02 |
3.2 |
3.76 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.78) |
3.08 ↓
(3.48) |
3.6 ↓
(4.13) |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Recanatese
45.3% | Draw
29.5% | San Marino Calcio
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recanatese's form might have worsened.San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recanatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-3%)Recanatese - San Marino Calcio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 83', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Recanatese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Marino is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).Recanatese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Recanatese is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recanatese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Recanatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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