The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recreativo Huelva 62.7%
Draw 23.3%
Antoniano 14%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.2%
27.5%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
25.4%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Recreativo Huelva's performance.
Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoniano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Chavarria M. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Chavarria M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Chavarria M. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 5 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
90', 🟥,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 18th in the Relegation).
Recreativo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Antoniano has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recreativo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recreativo holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Recreativo in today's match, at odds of 1.45.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Recreativo has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Recreativo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).